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American data company Gracenote is the latest finals tournament Announced the probability of advance.
After losing 0-1 against Costa Rica on the 27th, the probability of advancing to the finals tournament for Japan was set at "30%", and Costa Rica, who won, was set at "41%".
Japan's next opponent, Spain, has drawn with Germany, and is unbeaten so far with 4 points and 7 goal difference, leading to "95%". On the other hand, Germany, who lost to Japan in the first match, drew with Spain in the second match, and although they are at the bottom of Group E, they have increased from 20% after losing to Japan to "33%". It is a higher number than Japan. [Probability of advancing to the Group E final tournament] Spain 72% → 90% → 95% Germany 59% → 20% → 33% Japan 39% → 78% → 30% Costa Rica 30% → 12% → 41% At the end of the first round → 11:00 on the 28th)